By Daniel W. Rasmus
Many factors can derail “trends”, and a bias toward seeing a trend can blind trend watchers from recognizing other patterns, especially contradictory ones. The year-end trend posts are less about prophecy than pattern recognition. The useful question isn’t “What’s next?” It’s “What changed in the operating conditions that will impact decisions I make in the near-term?” For 2026, the answer is blunt: AI stops being a tool story and becomes an infrastructure story. That shift pulls budgets, governance, architecture, skills, geopolitics, and energy into the same room, and they don’t necessarily all get along.
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